Round 9 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2.m2-gbr-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2035

Round 9 of 20 in simulation 13 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Legitimacy rupture and Cryptographic trust break, and the index −0.239 to 17.06.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.

Capability index
17.06 (−0.238)
In: 17.30
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
4
In: 5
Credits carried
338
In: 373
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.6116.47−0.1472
Strategic Infrastructure16.1115.86−0.2532
National Security16.2315.62−0.6072 → 3
Human Capital18.8919.05+0.1501
Information & Influence17.6317.31−0.3172
Governance & Integrity16.7016.53−0.1671
Financial Strength17.5116.90−0.6181 → 2
Production & Innovation16.8816.88−0.0041
Trade & Investment19.1418.96−0.1841

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2035: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,057, plus 373 carried in. Maintenance 828. Spent 264 on actions (build 158, buy 53, partner 53). 338 carried over.

  • BuildDiaspora & Global Communities53 credits for 2.59 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 0 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence53 credits for 2.26 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Industrial & Sectoral Base by 0 per cent
  • BuildIndustrial & Sectoral Base53 credits for 2.29 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Digital & Services Trade by 1 per cent
  • PartnerDigital & Services Trade53 credits for 2.16 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Labour & Employment by 0 per cent
  • BuildLabour & Employment53 credits for 2.54 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Structural Transformation & Complexity by 0 per cent
  • Shock: Legitimacy rupture S05. −9.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
  • Shock: Cryptographic trust break S09. −19.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. National Security Tier 2 to 3; Financial Strength Tier 1 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2035, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+1.95+2.260.00−0.40+0.09
Early Childhood Development+1.07+1.130.00−0.050.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−1.010.000.00−1.010.00
Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations−0.840.000.00−0.85+0.01
Intelligence & Assessment−0.830.000.00−0.84+0.01
Financial Stability & Crisis Management−0.830.000.00−0.830.00