Round 2044
Round 18 of 20 in simulation 13 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 3 actions, AI labour shock, and the index +0.012 to 17.95.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2044 (the end of 2043) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 17.95 (+0.011)
- In: 17.94
- Rank by index
- 2
- In: 2
- Domains at Tier 1
- 6
- In: 6
- Credits carried
- 8
- In: 6
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 17.14 | 17.25 | +0.110 | 2 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.59 | 16.65 | +0.066 | 2 |
| National Security | 15.92 | 15.95 | +0.030 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 19.75 | 19.70 | −0.052 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 18.62 | 18.51 | −0.110 | 1 |
| Governance & Integrity | 18.45 | 18.46 | +0.009 | 1 |
| Financial Strength | 17.32 | 17.38 | +0.058 | 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 18.43 | 18.55 | +0.118 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 19.25 | 19.12 | −0.125 | 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2044: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,052, plus 6 carried in. Maintenance 935. Spent 115 on actions (build 52, buy 63). 8 carried over.
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing52 credits for 2.02 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent
- BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance52 credits for 0.91 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Energy Infrastructure by 0 per cent
- BuyEnergy Infrastructure10 credits for 0.39 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Monetary & Currency Capability by 2 per cent
- Shock: AI labour shock S08. −17.5 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +1.94 | +2.02 | 0.00 | −0.10 | +0.02 |
| Business Dynamism & Entrepreneurship | +0.73 | +0.74 | 0.00 | −0.09 | +0.08 |
| Resource Infrastructure | +0.61 | +0.65 | 0.00 | −0.05 | +0.02 |
| Financial Regulation & Integrity | +0.57 | +0.65 | 0.00 | −0.10 | +0.02 |
| Labour & Employment | +0.47 | +0.65 | 0.00 | −0.18 | 0.00 |
| Energy Infrastructure | +0.37 | +0.39 | 0.00 | −0.05 | +0.03 |