Round 2027
Round 1 of 20 in simulation 10 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.128 to 16.33.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2027 (the end of 2026) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.33 (−0.128)
- In: 16.45
- Rank by index
- 4
- In: 3
- Domains at Tier 1
- 3
- In: 2
- Credits carried
- 103
- In: 0
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.16 | 16.26 | +0.093 | 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.03 | 15.79 | −0.237 | 2 |
| National Security | 16.28 | 16.18 | −0.100 | 2 → 3 |
| Human Capital | 16.18 | 16.32 | +0.141 | 2 → 1 |
| Information & Influence | 17.15 | 16.92 | −0.226 | 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 16.48 | 16.36 | −0.121 | 1 |
| Financial Strength | 17.36 | 17.10 | −0.255 | 2 |
| Production & Innovation | 15.92 | 15.73 | −0.191 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.54 | 16.28 | −0.260 | 3 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2027: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 951. Maintenance 610. Spent 238 on actions (build 190, buy 48). 103 carried over.
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing48 credits for 1.97 levelsmctsahead of Technical & Vocational Skills by 0 per cent
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills48 credits for 3.92 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling48 credits for 3.97 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildDigital & AI Competence48 credits for 3.01 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildFoundational Education48 credits for 2.45 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −12.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. National Security Tier 2 to 3; Human Capital Tier 2 to 1.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +1.87 | +1.97 | 0.00 | −0.10 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.66 | +0.80 | 0.00 | −0.13 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.65 | +0.78 | 0.00 | −0.13 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.48 | +0.60 | 0.00 | −0.13 | 0.00 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.45 | 0.00 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | −0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.39 | 0.00 |