Round 2038
Round 12 of 20 in simulation 10 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.197 to 17.54.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 17.54 (+0.197)
- In: 17.34
- Rank by index
- 2
- In: 2
- Domains at Tier 1
- 7
- In: 7
- Credits carried
- 292
- In: 291
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.49 | 16.51 | +0.019 | 2 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.09 | 16.33 | +0.239 | 1 |
| National Security | 16.24 | 16.43 | +0.184 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 19.05 | 19.26 | +0.213 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 18.14 | 18.41 | +0.276 | 1 |
| Governance & Integrity | 16.67 | 16.99 | +0.319 | 1 |
| Financial Strength | 17.34 | 17.37 | +0.032 | 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 17.28 | 17.60 | +0.314 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 18.80 | 18.98 | +0.181 | 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2038: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,091, plus 291 carried in. Maintenance 848. Spent 242 on actions (build 145, partner 97). 292 carried over.
- BuildJustice System & Fundamental Rights48 credits for 1.80 levelsmctsahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 0 per cent
- BuildPolitical Institutions & Civic Participation48 credits for 1.72 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInformation Environment & Strategic Communication48 credits for 2.20 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildHealth System Capability48 credits for 1.86 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication48 credits for 1.72 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +3.8 points this round.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | +1.17 | +1.10 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.01 |
| Force Generation & Mobilisation | +0.99 | +0.92 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.01 |
| Advanced Manufacturing | +0.96 | +0.86 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.04 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.95 | +0.86 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.06 |
| Structural Transformation & Complexity | +0.93 | +0.88 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.02 |
| Labour & Employment | +0.93 | +0.87 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.02 |