Round 14 · simulation 10 · mcts-m2.m2-gbr-mcts-tier1

Round 2040

Round 14 of 20 in simulation 10 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.102 to 17.79.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.

Capability index
17.79 (+0.102)
In: 17.69
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
7
In: 7
Credits carried
55
In: 175
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.7716.79+0.0142
Strategic Infrastructure16.3916.50+0.1041
National Security16.4516.48+0.0283
Human Capital19.4919.72+0.2371
Information & Influence18.6118.62+0.0131
Governance & Integrity17.3217.69+0.3721
Financial Strength17.3817.40+0.0181
Production & Innovation17.6217.73+0.1101
Trade & Investment19.1319.15+0.0211

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2040: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,062, plus 175 carried in. Maintenance 917. Spent 265 on actions (build 212, buy 53). 55 carried over.

  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation53 credits for 0.68 levelsmctsahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent
  • BuildTransparency, Oversight & Accountability53 credits for 1.95 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildJustice System & Fundamental Rights53 credits for 1.61 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildWater, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure53 credits for 1.99 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildIndustrial & Sectoral Base53 credits for 1.86 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2040, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Justice System & Fundamental Rights+1.07+1.070.000.000.00
Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure+1.03+1.020.000.00+0.01
Population Health+0.86+0.850.000.00+0.01
Transparency, Oversight & Accountability+0.80+0.800.000.000.00
Health System Capability+0.79+0.760.000.00+0.03
Political Institutions & Civic Participation+0.72+0.700.000.00+0.02