Round 2031
Round 5 of 20 in simulation 5 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.237 to 17.08.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 17.08 (+0.237)
- In: 16.84
- Rank by index
- 2
- In: 2
- Domains at Tier 1
- 5
- In: 3
- Credits carried
- 439
- In: 357
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.47 | 16.48 | +0.009 | 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.19 | 16.29 | +0.099 | 2 |
| National Security | 16.39 | 16.57 | +0.186 | 2 |
| Human Capital | 18.29 | 18.46 | +0.174 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 17.17 | 17.28 | +0.110 | 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 16.59 | 16.70 | +0.110 | 1 |
| Financial Strength | 17.32 | 17.50 | +0.173 | 2 → 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.38 | 16.63 | +0.258 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.80 | 17.81 | +1.010 | 2 → 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 997, plus 357 carried in. Maintenance 673. Spent 242 on actions (build 48, buy 48, partner 145). 439 carried over.
- BuySpace Operations48 credits for 1.74 levelsmctsahead of Space Operations by 0 per cent
- BuildEconomic Output & Productivity48 credits for 1.94 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position48 credits for 2.77 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence48 credits for 2.90 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection48 credits for 2.31 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +4.6 points this round.
Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 2 to 1; Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 1.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +1.49 | +1.45 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +1.48 | +1.33 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.11 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +1.46 | +1.38 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.03 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +1.42 | +1.38 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +1.41 | +1.46 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +1.22 | +1.16 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.02 |