Round 13 · simulation 5 · mcts-m2.m2-gbr-mcts-tier1

Round 2039

Round 13 of 20 in simulation 5 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 3 actions, Automated discovery step, and the index +0.215 to 18.33.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2039 (the end of 2038) and as it left it.

Capability index
18.33 (+0.215)
In: 18.11
Rank by index
1
In: 1
Domains at Tier 1
7
In: 7
Credits carried
11
In: 24
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology17.0117.25+0.2472
Strategic Infrastructure16.9117.16+0.2481
National Security16.8117.06+0.2472
Human Capital19.8319.93+0.1051
Information & Influence18.1718.45+0.2801
Governance & Integrity18.0118.43+0.4171
Financial Strength18.1418.26+0.1201
Production & Innovation18.5218.68+0.1591
Trade & Investment19.6019.71+0.1081

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2039: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,120, plus 24 carried in. Maintenance 1,010. Spent 123 on actions (build 11, buy 56, partner 56). 11 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance56 credits for 0.54 levelsmcts
  • BuyForce Generation & Mobilisation56 credits for 2.06 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildWater, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure11 credits for 0.42 levelsmcts_fill
  • Upside event: Automated discovery step S17. +31.1 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
The groups that moved most in 2039, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Force Generation & Mobilisation+1.18+1.030.00+0.14+0.02
Health System Capability+0.95+0.760.00+0.15+0.04
Transparency, Oversight & Accountability+0.90+0.740.00+0.15+0.01
Justice System & Fundamental Rights+0.88+0.720.00+0.15+0.01
Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure+0.80+0.610.00+0.16+0.03
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+0.69+0.620.00+0.070.00