Round 2042
Round 16 of 20 in simulation 5 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 0 actions, Middle East settlement, and the index +0.013 to 18.66.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 18.66 (+0.013)
- In: 18.64
- Rank by index
- 1
- In: 1
- Domains at Tier 1
- 7
- In: 7
- Credits carried
- 0
- In: 1
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 17.80 | 17.71 | −0.087 | 2 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 17.66 | 17.75 | +0.092 | 1 |
| National Security | 17.46 | 17.49 | +0.031 | 2 |
| Human Capital | 20.00 | 20.00 | 0.000 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 18.67 | 18.70 | +0.031 | 1 |
| Governance & Integrity | 18.98 | 19.06 | +0.082 | 1 |
| Financial Strength | 18.40 | 18.40 | +0.002 | 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 18.97 | 18.96 | −0.010 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 19.87 | 19.85 | −0.021 | 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2042: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,100, plus 1 carried in. Maintenance 1,100 of the 1,241 needed, so 11 per cent of every group went unmaintained and decayed. Nothing spent on actions. 0 carried over.
- Upside event: Middle East settlement S14. +15.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Government Effectiveness & Public Administration | +0.20 | 0.00 | −0.02 | +0.18 | +0.05 |
| Internal Security & Order | +0.18 | 0.00 | −0.02 | +0.18 | +0.03 |
| Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure | +0.16 | +0.11 | −0.06 | +0.09 | +0.03 |
| Social Infrastructure | +0.16 | 0.00 | −0.06 | +0.18 | +0.04 |
| Transport Infrastructure | +0.14 | 0.00 | −0.06 | +0.18 | +0.02 |
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | −0.14 | 0.00 | −0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 |