Round 2028
Round 2 of 20 in simulation 50 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Hybrid coercion, and the index −0.133 to 16.36.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2028 (the end of 2027) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.36 (−0.133)
- In: 16.50
- Rank by index
- 3
- In: 3
- Domains at Tier 1
- 4
- In: 3
- Credits carried
- 213
- In: 98
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.16 | 16.00 | −0.169 | 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.03 | 15.67 | −0.356 | 2 |
| National Security | 16.28 | 15.86 | −0.420 | 2 → 3 |
| Human Capital | 16.47 | 17.09 | +0.619 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 17.15 | 16.73 | −0.415 | 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 16.48 | 16.26 | −0.216 | 1 |
| Financial Strength | 17.45 | 17.56 | +0.104 | 2 → 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 15.92 | 15.76 | −0.156 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.54 | 16.35 | −0.186 | 3 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2028: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 964, plus 98 carried in. Maintenance 612. Spent 238 on actions (build 238). 213 carried over.
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills48 credits for 3.74 levelsmctsahead of Technical & Vocational Skills by 0 per cent
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling48 credits for 3.80 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildDigital & AI Competence48 credits for 2.65 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildFoundational Education48 credits for 2.33 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildAdvanced Education48 credits for 1.98 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −16.1 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. National Security Tier 2 to 3; Financial Strength Tier 2 to 1.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +1.55 | +1.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.53 | +1.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +1.13 | +1.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Foundational Education | +0.95 | +0.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Maritime Power | −0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.64 | 0.00 |
| Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations | −0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.64 | 0.00 |