Round 12 · simulation 50 · mcts-m2.m2-gbr-mcts-tier1

Round 2038

Round 12 of 20 in simulation 50 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.129 to 17.85.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.

Capability index
17.85 (+0.129)
In: 17.72
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
6
In: 6
Credits carried
240
In: 349
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.8716.88+0.0142
Strategic Infrastructure16.2716.34+0.0702
National Security15.9515.96+0.0163
Human Capital19.3219.63+0.3081
Information & Influence18.5118.53+0.0171
Governance & Integrity17.3717.81+0.4371
Financial Strength17.8817.89+0.0031
Production & Innovation18.0618.33+0.2721
Trade & Investment19.2919.31+0.0251

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2038: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,093, plus 349 carried in. Maintenance 930. Spent 273 on actions (build 219, buy 55). 240 carried over.

  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation55 credits for 0.98 levelsmctsahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 0 per cent
  • BuildTransparency, Oversight & Accountability55 credits for 1.98 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildWater, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure55 credits for 2.12 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildJustice System & Fundamental Rights55 credits for 1.67 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildHealth System Capability55 credits for 1.81 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2038, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Structural Transformation & Complexity+1.77+1.730.000.00+0.04
Justice System & Fundamental Rights+1.13+1.130.000.000.00
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+1.08+0.980.000.00+0.10
Population Health+0.90+0.880.000.00+0.01
Transparency, Oversight & Accountability+0.81+0.810.000.000.00
Health System Capability+0.79+0.760.000.00+0.03