Round 14 · simulation 50 · mcts-m2.m2-gbr-mcts-tier1

Round 2040

Round 14 of 20 in simulation 50 of United Kingdom, tree search, 20 years: 3 actions, and the index +0.127 to 18.11.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.

Capability index: 18.11 (+0.127); In: 17.98
Rank by index: 1; In: 2
Domains at Tier 1: 7; In: 6
Credits carried: 11; In: 81

Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
Domain	In	Out	Change	Tier
Critical Technology	16.89	17.15	+0.260	2
Strategic Infrastructure	16.54	16.81	+0.270	2 → 1
National Security	16.13	16.30	+0.163	3
Human Capital	19.82	19.92	+0.095	1
Information & Influence	18.54	18.55	+0.009	1
Governance & Integrity	18.24	18.54	+0.300	1
Financial Strength	17.89	17.90	+0.007	1
Production & Innovation	18.47	18.48	+0.010	1
Trade & Investment	19.34	19.36	+0.025	1

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2040: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,093, plus 81 carried in. Maintenance 999. Spent 164 on actions (build 55, buy 109). 11 carried over.

BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure55 credits for 1.35 levelsmcts
BuildPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption55 credits for 1.64 levelsmcts_fill
BuyEnergy Technologies55 credits for 2.49 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2040, and what moved them
Moved most	Change	Invested	Graph
Energy Technologies	+2.49	+2.49	0.00
Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure	+1.57	+1.54	+0.03
Transparency, Oversight & Accountability	+1.17	+1.14	+0.02
Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure	+1.06	+1.04	+0.02
Force Generation & Mobilisation	+1.03	+1.04	0.00
Health System Capability	+0.78	+0.76	+0.02