Round 11 · simulation 29 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-greedy-marginal

Round 2037

Round 11 of 20 in simulation 29 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.045 to 7.73.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.73 (+0.045)
In: 7.68
Rank by index
71
In: 72
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
0
In: 1
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology4.084.20+0.1208
Strategic Infrastructure7.907.90+0.0087
National Security4.644.66+0.0129
Human Capital8.938.93+0.0018
Information & Influence9.169.22+0.0627
Governance & Integrity8.898.890.00014
Financial Strength8.618.61+0.00417
Production & Innovation8.058.14+0.09214
Trade & Investment8.909.00+0.10311

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2037: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 148, plus 1 carried in. Maintenance 122. Spent 27 on actions (buy 19, partner 7). 0 carried over.

  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity7 credits for 0.55 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies7 credits for 0.86 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 0 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access7 credits for 0.88 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance3 credits for 0.32 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Sensing, Timing & Navigation by 0 per cent
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation2 credits for 0.18 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 0 per cent
The groups that moved most in 2037, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.86+0.860.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.62+0.620.000.00+0.01
Economic Output & Productivity+0.57+0.550.000.00+0.03
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+0.34+0.320.000.00+0.01
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+0.18+0.180.000.000.00
Artificial Intelligence+0.150.000.000.00+0.15