Round 12 · simulation 29 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-greedy-marginal

Round 2038

Round 12 of 20 in simulation 29 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.049 to 7.78.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.78 (+0.049)
In: 7.73
Rank by index
70
In: 71
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
1
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology4.204.46+0.2638 → 7
Strategic Infrastructure7.907.92+0.0117
National Security4.664.66+0.0079
Human Capital8.938.94+0.0138
Information & Influence9.229.23+0.0077
Governance & Integrity8.898.890.00014
Financial Strength8.618.63+0.01617
Production & Innovation8.148.16+0.01714 → 12
Trade & Investment9.009.11+0.10311

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2038: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 151. Maintenance 124. Spent 27 on actions (buy 24, partner 3). 1 carried over.

  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing7 credits for 0.85 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Sensing, Timing & Navigation by 0 per cent
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation7 credits for 0.90 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 1 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing7 credits for 0.69 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 1 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection3 credits for 0.31 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 0 per cent
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation2 credits for 0.11 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 8 to 7; Production & Innovation Tier 14 to 12.

The groups that moved most in 2038, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+0.90+0.900.000.000.00
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+0.85+0.850.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.69+0.690.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.44+0.440.000.00+0.01
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.17+0.150.000.00+0.01
Artificial Intelligence+0.150.000.000.00+0.15