Round 12 · simulation 40 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-greedy-marginal

Round 2038

Round 12 of 20 in simulation 40 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.049 to 6.37.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.37 (+0.050)
In: 6.32
Rank by index
91
In: 93
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
15
In: 11
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.283.42+0.1409
Strategic Infrastructure5.845.83−0.0179
National Security3.133.13−0.00310
Human Capital7.667.64−0.01111
Information & Influence8.268.33+0.0698 → 7
Governance & Integrity7.847.84−0.00416
Financial Strength6.906.96+0.06022
Production & Innovation6.506.57+0.06315
Trade & Investment7.507.65+0.15012 → 11

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2038: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 125, plus 11 carried in. Maintenance 90. Spent 31 on actions (buy 18, partner 12). 15 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing6 credits for 0.62 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 1 per cent
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance6 credits for 0.37 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 0 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation6 credits for 0.80 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity6 credits for 0.48 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 1 per cent
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies6 credits for 0.75 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 0 per cent

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 8 to 7; Trade & Investment Tier 12 to 11.

The groups that moved most in 2038, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.75+0.750.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.61+0.620.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.49+0.480.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.39+0.400.000.00−0.01
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.38+0.390.000.000.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.35+0.370.000.00−0.02