Round 11 · simulation 40 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-greedy-marginal

Round 2037

Round 11 of 20 in simulation 40 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.042 to 6.32.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.32 (+0.041)
In: 6.28
Rank by index
93
In: 93
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
12
In: 9
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.203.28+0.0759
Strategic Infrastructure5.865.84−0.0199
National Security3.133.13−0.00110
Human Capital7.667.66−0.00711
Information & Influence8.268.26−0.0018
Governance & Integrity7.857.84−0.00816
Financial Strength6.856.90+0.05722
Production & Innovation6.546.50−0.03915
Trade & Investment7.187.50+0.31513 → 12

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2037: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 122, plus 9 carried in. Maintenance 89. Spent 30 on actions (buy 6, partner 24). 12 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance6 credits for 0.37 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 1 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing6 credits for 0.63 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 1 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access6 credits for 0.78 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Facilitation & Logistics by 1 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics6 credits for 0.71 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 1 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection6 credits for 0.67 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent

Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 13 to 12.

The groups that moved most in 2037, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.83+0.840.000.00−0.01
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.70+0.760.000.00−0.06
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.63+0.630.000.000.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.38+0.400.000.00−0.01
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.33+0.330.000.00−0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.31+0.400.000.00−0.09