Round 14 · simulation 40 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-greedy-marginal

Round 2040

Round 14 of 20 in simulation 40 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.048 to 6.47.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.47 (+0.047)
In: 6.42
Rank by index
90
In: 90
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
28
In: 21
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.563.78+0.2238 → 7
Strategic Infrastructure5.815.80−0.0169
National Security3.133.12−0.00710
Human Capital7.687.67−0.01611
Information & Influence8.408.52+0.1267
Governance & Integrity7.837.83−0.00416
Financial Strength7.017.01+0.00122
Production & Innovation6.676.74+0.06814
Trade & Investment7.717.76+0.05511

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2040: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 132, plus 21 carried in. Maintenance 93. Spent 33 on actions (buy 33). 28 carried over.

  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing7 credits for 0.77 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing7 credits for 0.62 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 0 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence7 credits for 0.76 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance7 credits for 0.74 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity7 credits for 0.50 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 8 to 7.

The groups that moved most in 2040, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+0.89+0.760.000.00+0.13
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+0.77+0.740.000.00+0.03
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+0.76+0.770.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.61+0.620.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.50+0.500.000.000.00
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.43+0.380.000.00+0.05