Round 15 · simulation 40 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-greedy-marginal

Round 2041

Round 15 of 20 in simulation 40 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Public service leap, and the index +0.095 to 6.57.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.57 (+0.096)
In: 6.47
Rank by index
90
In: 90
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
33
In: 26
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.784.09+0.3117
Strategic Infrastructure5.805.88+0.0879
National Security3.123.12+0.00410
Human Capital7.677.72+0.05111
Information & Influence8.528.65+0.1257
Governance & Integrity7.837.92+0.08716
Financial Strength7.017.08+0.06822
Production & Innovation6.746.77+0.03614
Trade & Investment7.767.85+0.09011

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2041: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 135, plus 26 carried in. Maintenance 95. Spent 33 on actions (buy 20, partner 13). 33 carried over.

  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation7 credits for 0.81 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 1 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication7 credits for 0.73 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies7 credits for 0.77 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 0 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation7 credits for 0.82 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Energy Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuyEnergy Technologies7 credits for 0.79 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Global Value Chain Position by 0 per cent
  • Upside event: Public service leap S18. +11.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
The groups that moved most in 2041, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.88+0.770.00+0.110.00
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+0.87+0.810.00+0.060.00
Energy Technologies+0.84+0.790.00+0.06−0.01
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.46+0.410.00+0.06−0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.39+0.370.00+0.030.00
Artificial Intelligence+0.200.000.00+0.06+0.15