Round 20 · simulation 40 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-greedy-marginal

Round 2046

Round 20 of 20 in simulation 40 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.038 to 5.58.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2046 (the end of 2045) and as it left it.

Capability index
5.58 (+0.038)
In: 5.54
Rank by index
109
In: 110
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
41
In: 40
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.703.94+0.2447
Strategic Infrastructure4.664.62−0.03910
National Security2.552.55−0.00612
Human Capital6.736.71−0.01411
Information & Influence7.207.19−0.0139
Governance & Integrity7.197.18−0.00717
Financial Strength5.435.44+0.00626
Production & Innovation5.495.54+0.04815
Trade & Investment6.937.06+0.12411

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2046: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 107, plus 40 carried in. Maintenance 78. Spent 28 on actions (buy 28). 41 carried over.

  • BuyArtificial Intelligence6 credits for 0.64 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing6 credits for 0.52 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Materials & Manufacturing by 1 per cent
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing6 credits for 0.66 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies6 credits for 0.66 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity6 credits for 0.46 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Energy Technologies by 0 per cent
The groups that moved most in 2046, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.66+0.660.000.000.00
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+0.66+0.660.000.000.00
Artificial Intelligence+0.61+0.640.000.00−0.03
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.52+0.520.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.46+0.460.000.00−0.01
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.34+0.350.000.00−0.02