Round 2045
Round 19 of 20 in simulation 40 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Severe pandemic, and the index −0.301 to 5.54.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2045 (the end of 2044) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 5.54 (−0.301)
- In: 5.84
- Rank by index
- 110
- In: 101
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 42
- In: 41
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 4.12 | 3.70 | −0.423 | 7 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 4.86 | 4.66 | −0.208 | 10 |
| National Security | 2.70 | 2.55 | −0.150 | 11 → 12 |
| Human Capital | 7.03 | 6.73 | −0.302 | 11 |
| Information & Influence | 7.63 | 7.20 | −0.431 | 8 → 9 |
| Governance & Integrity | 7.42 | 7.19 | −0.231 | 16 → 17 |
| Financial Strength | 5.80 | 5.43 | −0.364 | 25 → 26 |
| Production & Innovation | 5.93 | 5.49 | −0.441 | 15 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.09 | 6.93 | −0.159 | 12 → 11 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2045: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 113, plus 41 carried in. Maintenance 84. Spent 28 on actions (buy 6, partner 23). 42 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance6 credits for 0.37 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Facilitation & Logistics by 4 per cent
- PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics6 credits for 0.67 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing6 credits for 0.52 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 0 per cent
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access6 credits for 0.70 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 1 per cent
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication6 credits for 0.65 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 0 per cent
- Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −23.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. National Security Tier 11 to 12; Information & Influence Tier 8 to 9; Governance & Integrity Tier 16 to 17; Financial Strength Tier 25 to 26; Trade & Investment Tier 12 to 11.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biotechnology & Health Technologies | −0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.70 | 0.00 |
| Labour & Employment | −0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.67 | −0.02 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | −0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.68 | 0.00 |
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | −0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.48 | −0.01 |
| Artificial Intelligence | −0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.41 | −0.08 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | −0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.42 | −0.07 |