Round 2027
Round 1 of 20 in simulation 43 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Trade bloc rupture, and the index −0.035 to 7.14.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2027 (the end of 2026) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 7.14 (−0.035)
- In: 7.18
- Rank by index
- 80
- In: 79
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 2
- In: 0
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.90 | 2.90 | +0.005 | 12 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.88 | 7.85 | −0.033 | 7 |
| National Security | 4.60 | 4.56 | −0.036 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 7.68 | 7.70 | +0.021 | 12 |
| Information & Influence | 8.21 | 8.28 | +0.068 | 9 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.89 | 8.85 | −0.043 | 14 |
| Financial Strength | 8.57 | 8.48 | −0.086 | 17 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.57 | 7.49 | −0.080 | 14 |
| Trade & Investment | 8.30 | 8.17 | −0.133 | 12 → 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2027: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 143. Maintenance 110. Spent 32 on actions (build 17, buy 14). 2 carried over.
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills7 credits for 0.89 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 11 per cent
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies7 credits for 1.06 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance7 credits for 0.91 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Lifelong Learning & Reskilling by 0 per cent
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling7 credits for 0.86 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Digital & AI Competence by 1 per cent
- BuildDigital & AI Competence3 credits for 0.31 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 1 per cent
- Shock: Trade bloc rupture S01. −14.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 12 to 13.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +0.98 | +1.06 | 0.00 | −0.08 | 0.00 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +0.83 | +0.91 | 0.00 | −0.07 | 0.00 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | −0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.17 | 0.00 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | −0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.17 | 0.00 |
| Global Value Chain Position | −0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.17 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | −0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.17 | 0.00 |