Round 2028
Round 2 of 20 in simulation 43 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 3 actions, and the index −0.060 to 7.08.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2028 (the end of 2027) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 7.08 (−0.060)
- In: 7.14
- Rank by index
- 80
- In: 80
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 0
- In: 2
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.90 | 2.80 | −0.101 | 12 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.85 | 7.81 | −0.034 | 7 → 8 |
| National Security | 4.56 | 4.53 | −0.036 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 7.70 | 7.76 | +0.066 | 12 |
| Information & Influence | 8.28 | 8.20 | −0.085 | 9 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.85 | 8.81 | −0.043 | 14 |
| Financial Strength | 8.48 | 8.39 | −0.090 | 17 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.49 | 7.41 | −0.082 | 14 |
| Trade & Investment | 8.17 | 8.03 | −0.135 | 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2028: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 125, plus 2 carried in. Maintenance 109. Spent 17 on actions (build 17). 0 carried over.
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills7 credits for 0.88 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Lifelong Learning & Reskilling by 11 per cent
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling7 credits for 0.85 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Digital & AI Competence by 1 per cent
- BuildDigital & AI Competence3 credits for 0.31 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 0 per cent
Earlier events still landing: −4.8 points this round.
Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 7 to 8.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.33 | +0.35 | 0.00 | −0.03 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.32 | +0.34 | 0.00 | −0.03 | 0.00 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | −0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.17 | 0.00 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | −0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.17 | 0.00 |
| Global Value Chain Position | −0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.17 | −0.01 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | −0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.17 | 0.00 |