Round 16 · simulation 43 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-greedy-marginal

Round 2042

Round 16 of 20 in simulation 43 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.036 to 7.17.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.17 (+0.036)
In: 7.14
Rank by index
79
In: 80
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
2
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.823.99+0.1657
Strategic Infrastructure7.567.56+0.0048
National Security4.314.31+0.0079
Human Capital8.308.30−0.0018
Information & Influence8.438.50+0.0698
Governance & Integrity8.488.47−0.00215
Financial Strength7.787.78−0.00719
Production & Innovation7.407.44+0.03815 → 14
Trade & Investment8.168.21+0.05112 → 11

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2042: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 140. Maintenance 111. Spent 27 on actions (buy 15, partner 12). 2 carried over.

  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation6 credits for 0.76 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 1 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access6 credits for 0.76 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies6 credits for 0.72 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 0 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation6 credits for 0.77 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 0 per cent
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion3 credits for 0.28 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent

Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 15 to 14; Trade & Investment Tier 12 to 11.

The groups that moved most in 2042, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+0.75+0.760.000.00−0.01
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.72+0.720.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.38+0.380.000.00−0.01
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.37+0.380.000.00−0.01
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.28+0.280.000.000.00
Artificial Intelligence+0.160.000.000.00+0.16