Round 15 · simulation 43 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-greedy-marginal

Round 2041

Round 15 of 20 in simulation 43 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 2 actions, and the index −0.056 to 7.14.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.14 (−0.056)
In: 7.19
Rank by index
80
In: 79
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
0
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.793.82+0.0298 → 7
Strategic Infrastructure7.597.56−0.0288
National Security4.344.31−0.0349
Human Capital8.328.30−0.0288
Information & Influence8.518.43−0.0858
Governance & Integrity8.538.48−0.04915
Financial Strength7.887.78−0.09619
Production & Innovation7.497.40−0.08715
Trade & Investment8.298.16−0.12211 → 12

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2041: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 124. Maintenance 112. Spent 13 on actions (buy 13). 0 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing6 credits for 0.58 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Materials & Manufacturing by 0 per cent
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing6 credits for 0.72 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Sensing, Timing & Navigation by 0 per cent

Earlier events still landing: −5.5 points this round.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 8 to 7; Trade & Investment Tier 11 to 12.

The groups that moved most in 2041, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+0.51+0.720.00−0.210.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.34+0.580.00−0.250.00
Export Capability & Sophistication−0.210.000.00−0.20−0.01
Global Value Chain Position−0.190.000.00−0.18−0.01
Biotechnology & Health Technologies−0.170.000.00−0.160.00
Monetary & Currency Capability−0.160.000.00−0.16−0.01