Round 16 · simulation 32 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-score-sum

Round 2042

Round 16 of 20 in simulation 32 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.042 to 7.20.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.20 (+0.042)
In: 7.16
Rank by index
79
In: 80
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
15
In: 15
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology4.374.66+0.2867
Strategic Infrastructure6.866.87+0.0148
National Security3.623.63+0.0109
Human Capital8.468.47+0.0029
Information & Influence9.019.02+0.0077
Governance & Integrity8.338.33+0.00116
Financial Strength7.907.90+0.00720
Production & Innovation7.537.58+0.04714
Trade & Investment8.368.37+0.00811

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2042: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 147, plus 15 carried in. Maintenance 110. Spent 36 on actions (build 7, buy 22, partner 7). 15 carried over.

  • BuildEconomic Output & Productivity7 credits for 0.41 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing7 credits for 0.66 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems7 credits for 0.85 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation7 credits for 0.85 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerSpace Technologies7 credits for 0.65 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2042, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Robotics & Autonomous Systems+0.86+0.850.000.00+0.01
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+0.85+0.850.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.66+0.660.000.000.00
Space Technologies+0.33+0.330.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.29+0.280.000.00+0.01
Artificial Intelligence+0.150.000.000.00+0.15