Round 2034
Round 8 of 20 in simulation 29 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.074 to 7.57.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 7.57 (+0.075)
- In: 7.50
- Rank by index
- 72
- In: 74
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 0
- In: 1
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.49 | 3.69 | +0.195 | 10 → 9 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.89 | 7.90 | +0.004 | 7 |
| National Security | 4.63 | 4.64 | +0.008 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 8.63 | 8.73 | +0.093 | 10 → 8 |
| Information & Influence | 8.80 | 8.97 | +0.177 | 7 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.89 | 8.89 | +0.001 | 14 |
| Financial Strength | 8.63 | 8.63 | +0.008 | 17 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.84 | 7.87 | +0.030 | 14 |
| Trade & Investment | 8.69 | 8.84 | +0.155 | 11 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2034: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 146, plus 1 carried in. Maintenance 116. Spent 31 on actions (build 7, buy 23). 0 carried over.
- BuildEconomic Output & Productivity7 credits for 0.44 levelsmcts
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing7 credits for 0.77 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyArtificial Intelligence7 credits for 0.92 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance7 credits for 0.82 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies2 credits for 0.18 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 10 to 9; Human Capital Tier 10 to 8.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +1.03 | +1.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Artificial Intelligence | +0.94 | +0.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.77 | +0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.51 | +0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.47 | +0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.41 | +0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |