Round 2 · simulation 36 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-tier1

Round 2028

Round 2 of 20 in simulation 36 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.030 to 7.25.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2028 (the end of 2027) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.25 (+0.030)
In: 7.22
Rank by index
78
In: 79
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
2
In: 2
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.083.080.00012
Strategic Infrastructure7.887.880.0007
National Security4.604.600.0009
Human Capital7.707.79+0.08312
Information & Influence8.368.42+0.0599
Governance & Integrity8.898.890.00014
Financial Strength8.578.570.00017
Production & Innovation7.577.70+0.13014
Trade & Investment8.308.300.00012

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2028: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 143, plus 2 carried in. Maintenance 111. Spent 32 on actions (build 22, buy 10). 2 carried over.

  • BuildDigital & AI Competence7 credits for 0.76 levelsmcts
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills7 credits for 0.88 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling7 credits for 0.85 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion7 credits for 0.91 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance3 credits for 0.35 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2028, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.91+0.910.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.35+0.350.000.000.00
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+0.35+0.350.000.000.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.24+0.240.000.000.00
Digital & AI Competence+0.15+0.150.000.000.00