Round 10 · simulation 36 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-tier1

Round 2036

Round 10 of 20 in simulation 36 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 4 actions, and the index +0.041 to 7.27.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.27 (+0.041)
In: 7.23
Rank by index
77
In: 78
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
1
In: 1
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.363.48+0.1289
Strategic Infrastructure7.657.64−0.0118
National Security4.424.42+0.0019
Human Capital8.448.44−0.0019
Information & Influence8.468.67+0.2088 → 7
Governance & Integrity8.638.63−0.00315
Financial Strength8.128.15+0.03418
Production & Innovation7.597.60+0.00814
Trade & Investment8.398.39+0.00311

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2036: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 138, plus 1 carried in. Maintenance 111. Spent 28 on actions (build 7, buy 14, partner 7). 1 carried over.

  • BuildSemiconductors & Advanced Computing7 credits for 0.29 levelsmcts
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies7 credits for 0.86 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance7 credits for 0.79 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance7 credits for 0.40 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 8 to 7.

The groups that moved most in 2036, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.86+0.860.000.000.00
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+0.79+0.790.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.45+0.450.000.00−0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.20+0.200.000.000.00
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+0.14+0.130.000.00+0.01
Artificial Intelligence+0.140.000.000.00+0.14