Round 2038
Round 12 of 20 in simulation 36 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.036 to 7.34.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 7.34 (+0.036)
- In: 7.30
- Rank by index
- 76
- In: 77
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 1
- In: 1
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.67 | 3.78 | +0.112 | 9 → 8 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.64 | 7.65 | +0.006 | 8 |
| National Security | 4.44 | 4.45 | +0.015 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 8.44 | 8.44 | 0.000 | 9 |
| Information & Influence | 8.67 | 8.75 | +0.079 | 7 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.62 | 8.62 | −0.002 | 15 |
| Financial Strength | 8.22 | 8.25 | +0.035 | 18 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.62 | 7.64 | +0.025 | 14 |
| Trade & Investment | 8.40 | 8.46 | +0.056 | 11 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2038: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 142, plus 1 carried in. Maintenance 113. Spent 29 on actions (build 7, buy 8, partner 14). 1 carried over.
- BuildSemiconductors & Advanced Computing7 credits for 0.29 levelsmcts
- BuyArtificial Intelligence7 credits for 0.83 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation7 credits for 0.87 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection7 credits for 0.74 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity1 credits for 0.11 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 9 to 8.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +0.90 | +0.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.44 | +0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.37 | +0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.20 | +0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.19 | +0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.12 | +0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |