Round 13 · simulation 6 · mcts-m2.m2-kor-greedy-marginal

Round 2039

Round 13 of 20 in simulation 6 of South Korea, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Regional war spillover and AI labour shock, and the index −0.378 to 17.17.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2039 (the end of 2038) and as it left it.

Capability index
17.17 (−0.378)
In: 17.55
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
5
In: 7
Credits carried
1
In: 88
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.7416.37−0.3662
Strategic Infrastructure16.8816.31−0.5761 → 2
National Security14.2813.60−0.6813
Human Capital19.5219.38−0.1381
Information & Influence18.2517.99−0.2561
Governance & Integrity17.9518.09+0.1381
Financial Strength16.9116.37−0.5441 → 2
Production & Innovation18.3118.24−0.0671
Trade & Investment19.0818.17−0.9091

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2039: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,011, plus 88 carried in. Maintenance 906. Spent 192 on actions (build 142, buy 51). 1 carried over.

  • BuildBusiness Dynamism & Entrepreneurship51 credits for 2.31 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure by 0 per cent
  • BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure51 credits for 1.66 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Structural Transformation & Complexity by 1 per cent
  • BuildStructural Transformation & Complexity51 credits for 2.07 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Financial Regulation & Integrity by 1 per cent
  • BuildFinancial Regulation & Integrity20 credits for 0.85 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Health System Capability by 0 per cent
  • BuildHealth System Capability20 credits for 0.75 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Transparency, Oversight & Accountability by 2 per cent
  • Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −33.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
  • Shock: AI labour shock S08. −19.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 1 to 2; Financial Strength Tier 1 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2039, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Economic Leverage & Dependence−1.350.000.00−1.37+0.02
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.300.000.00−1.32+0.02
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−1.250.000.00−1.27+0.02
Resource Infrastructure−1.130.000.00−1.130.00
Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment−1.050.000.00−1.050.00
Strategic Strike & Missile Defence−1.040.000.00−1.040.00