Round 2028
Round 2 of 20 in simulation 18 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Middle East settlement, and the index +0.139 to 16.19.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2028 (the end of 2027) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.19 (+0.139)
- In: 16.05
- Rank by index
- 6
- In: 6
- Domains at Tier 1
- 3
- In: 2
- Credits carried
- 166
- In: 82
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.08 | 16.09 | +0.006 | 2 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.32 | 16.40 | +0.083 | 2 → 1 |
| National Security | 14.41 | 14.53 | +0.118 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 16.96 | 17.45 | +0.491 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 15.49 | 15.86 | +0.368 | 3 → 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.84 | 15.93 | +0.088 | 4 → 3 |
| Financial Strength | 16.07 | 16.11 | +0.032 | 5 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.63 | 16.66 | +0.032 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.68 | 16.71 | +0.032 | 2 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2028: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 888, plus 82 carried in. Maintenance 582. Spent 222 on actions (build 133, partner 89). 166 carried over.
- PartnerNuclear Deterrence44 credits for 1.42 levelsmctsahead of Space Operations by 0 per cent
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills44 credits for 3.45 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling44 credits for 3.11 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildDigital & AI Competence44 credits for 2.20 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation44 credits for 3.40 levelsmcts_fill
- Upside event: Middle East settlement S14. +11.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 2 to 1; Information & Influence Tier 3 to 2; Governance & Integrity Tier 4 to 3.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +1.82 | +1.70 | 0.00 | +0.13 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.47 | +1.44 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +1.35 | +1.32 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +1.03 | +1.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 |
| Nuclear Deterrence | +0.54 | +0.47 | 0.00 | +0.06 | 0.00 |
| Advanced Education | +0.41 | +0.38 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 |