Round 9 · simulation 18 · mcts-m2.m2-kor-mcts-index

Round 2035

Round 9 of 20 in simulation 18 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Legitimacy rupture and Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.124 to 16.86.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.86 (−0.124)
In: 16.98
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
5
In: 5
Credits carried
443
In: 454
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.5016.40−0.1042
Strategic Infrastructure16.1716.05−0.1152
National Security14.6114.47−0.1413
Human Capital18.7518.75−0.0011
Information & Influence17.8217.55−0.2611
Governance & Integrity15.9415.98+0.0503
Financial Strength17.1016.76−0.3341
Production & Innovation17.1116.95−0.1521
Trade & Investment18.8818.82−0.0551

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2035: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,019, plus 454 carried in. Maintenance 776. Spent 254 on actions (build 254). 443 carried over.

  • BuildNuclear Deterrence51 credits for 1.36 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • BuildRegulatory Governance & Strategic Controls51 credits for 1.91 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildFinancial Infrastructure51 credits for 2.39 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildPolitical Institutions & Civic Participation51 credits for 1.95 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption51 credits for 1.99 levelsmcts_fill
  • Shock: Legitimacy rupture S05. −7.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
  • Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −7.1 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
The groups that moved most in 2035, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.70+1.040.00−0.33−0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.500.000.00−0.51+0.01
Monetary & Currency Capability−0.500.000.00−0.500.00
Nuclear Deterrence+0.44+0.670.00−0.230.00
Financial Infrastructure+0.43+0.600.00−0.170.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−0.410.000.00−0.410.00