Round 8 · simulation 25 · mcts-m2.m2-kor-mcts-index

Round 2034

Round 8 of 20 in simulation 25 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Outbreak defence succeeds, and the index +0.601 to 17.51.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.

Capability index
17.51 (+0.602)
In: 16.91
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
7
In: 6
Credits carried
326
In: 346
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.4117.23+0.8132
Strategic Infrastructure16.5317.09+0.5591
National Security14.8715.13+0.2533
Human Capital18.7019.12+0.4261
Information & Influence17.5218.23+0.7071
Governance & Integrity15.8916.64+0.7434 → 1
Financial Strength16.3817.05+0.6751
Production & Innovation17.1917.66+0.4671
Trade & Investment18.6819.45+0.7691

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2034: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 992, plus 346 carried in. Maintenance 766. Spent 245 on actions (build 98, buy 98, partner 49). 326 carried over.

  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies49 credits for 2.50 levelsmctsahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 0 per cent
  • BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration49 credits for 1.48 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildPopulation Health49 credits for 2.13 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySovereign Capital & External Financial Power49 credits for 2.46 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics49 credits for 1.95 levelsmcts_fill
  • Upside event: Outbreak defence succeeds S20. +34.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 4 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2034, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+3.00+2.500.00+0.48+0.01
Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power+2.76+2.460.00+0.24+0.07
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+1.93+0.970.00+0.960.00
Global Value Chain Position+1.47+0.980.00+0.480.00
Government Effectiveness & Public Administration+1.26+0.300.00+0.96+0.01
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.26+0.680.00+0.48+0.10