Round 2039
Round 13 of 20 in simulation 25 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 0 actions, Hybrid coercion, and the index −0.147 to 17.69.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2039 (the end of 2038) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 17.69 (−0.148)
- In: 17.84
- Rank by index
- 2
- In: 2
- Domains at Tier 1
- 7
- In: 7
- Credits carried
- 4
- In: 7
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 17.40 | 17.28 | −0.113 | 2 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 17.41 | 17.11 | −0.306 | 1 |
| National Security | 15.24 | 14.87 | −0.374 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 19.65 | 19.66 | +0.015 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 18.35 | 17.96 | −0.389 | 1 |
| Governance & Integrity | 17.86 | 17.93 | +0.078 | 1 |
| Financial Strength | 17.15 | 17.17 | +0.014 | 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 17.83 | 17.74 | −0.092 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 19.62 | 19.46 | −0.160 | 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2039: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 1,015, plus 7 carried in. Maintenance 1,018. Nothing spent on actions. 4 carried over.
- Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −15.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Integrity & Anti-Corruption | +0.67 | +0.77 | 0.00 | −0.13 | +0.04 |
| Intelligence & Assessment | −0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.62 | +0.01 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | −0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.61 | +0.01 |
| Maritime Power | −0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.61 | +0.03 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | −0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.62 | +0.04 |
| Energy Infrastructure | −0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.56 | +0.02 |