Round 2036
Round 10 of 20 in simulation 17 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Water-efficient food leap, and the index +0.123 to 16.72.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.72 (+0.123)
- In: 16.59
- Rank by index
- 2
- In: 3
- Domains at Tier 1
- 4
- In: 4
- Credits carried
- 304
- In: 279
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 15.85 | 16.14 | +0.287 | 2 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.08 | 16.18 | +0.095 | 2 |
| National Security | 14.93 | 14.97 | +0.037 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 18.51 | 18.64 | +0.132 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 17.27 | 17.46 | +0.185 | 1 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.47 | 15.71 | +0.230 | 5 → 3 |
| Financial Strength | 16.04 | 16.06 | +0.021 | 2 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.66 | 16.73 | +0.066 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 18.51 | 18.57 | +0.058 | 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2036: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 964, plus 279 carried in. Maintenance 699. Spent 241 on actions (build 145, buy 48, partner 48). 304 carried over.
- PartnerNuclear Deterrence48 credits for 1.27 levelsmctsahead of Artificial Intelligence by 0 per cent
- BuyArtificial Intelligence48 credits for 2.21 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildRegulatory Governance & Strategic Controls48 credits for 1.87 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildAdvanced Education48 credits for 1.35 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildPolitical Institutions & Civic Participation48 credits for 1.91 levelsmcts_fill
- Upside event: Water-efficient food leap S16. +13.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 5 to 3.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +2.26 | +2.21 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.01 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +0.76 | +0.73 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.01 |
| Regulatory Governance & Strategic Controls | +0.45 | +0.38 | 0.00 | +0.08 | 0.00 |
| Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure | +0.43 | +0.39 | 0.00 | +0.04 | −0.01 |
| Nuclear Deterrence | +0.42 | +0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Political Institutions & Civic Participation | +0.42 | +0.38 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 |