Round 2038
Round 12 of 20 in simulation 17 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.140 to 16.97.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.97 (+0.140)
- In: 16.83
- Rank by index
- 2
- In: 2
- Domains at Tier 1
- 7
- In: 4
- Credits carried
- 267
- In: 282
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.21 | 16.28 | +0.069 | 2 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.28 | 16.38 | +0.099 | 2 → 1 |
| National Security | 15.01 | 15.07 | +0.058 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 18.80 | 18.99 | +0.193 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 17.52 | 17.56 | +0.047 | 1 |
| Governance & Integrity | 16.03 | 16.41 | +0.377 | 3 → 1 |
| Financial Strength | 16.08 | 16.16 | +0.078 | 2 → 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.91 | 17.20 | +0.288 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 18.62 | 18.66 | +0.047 | 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2038: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 997, plus 282 carried in. Maintenance 764. Spent 249 on actions (build 249). 267 carried over.
- BuildResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation50 credits for 0.60 levelsmctsahead of Space Technologies by 0 per cent
- BuildIndustrial & Sectoral Base50 credits for 2.22 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildTransparency, Oversight & Accountability50 credits for 1.96 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildPopulation Health50 credits for 2.11 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance50 credits for 0.99 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +2.6 points this round.
Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 2 to 1; Governance & Integrity Tier 3 to 1; Financial Strength Tier 2 to 1.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population Health | +0.89 | +0.85 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 |
| Labour & Employment | +0.88 | +0.81 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.03 |
| Regulatory Governance & Strategic Controls | +0.82 | +0.74 | 0.00 | +0.08 | 0.00 |
| Industrial & Sectoral Base | +0.78 | +0.74 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 |
| Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure | +0.44 | +0.39 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.01 |
| Political Institutions & Civic Participation | +0.43 | +0.38 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.01 |