Round 16 · simulation 17 · mcts-m2.m2-kor-mcts-score-sum

Round 2042

Round 16 of 20 in simulation 17 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 3 actions, Clean power threshold, and the index +0.217 to 17.79.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.

Capability index
17.79 (+0.218)
In: 17.57
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
7
In: 7
Credits carried
2
In: 46
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.6317.01+0.3862
Strategic Infrastructure17.0617.26+0.2031
National Security15.1315.15+0.0183
Human Capital19.4719.56+0.0951
Information & Influence18.4218.50+0.0781
Governance & Integrity17.7518.19+0.4391
Financial Strength16.9617.16+0.1951
Production & Innovation17.9018.29+0.3921
Trade & Investment18.7818.93+0.1501

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2042: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 997, plus 46 carried in. Maintenance 892. Spent 149 on actions (build 100, buy 50). 2 carried over.

  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance50 credits for 0.67 levelsmctsahead of Quantum Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation50 credits for 2.30 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildHealth System Capability50 credits for 1.76 levelsmcts_fill
  • Upside event: Clean power threshold S15. +37.1 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
The groups that moved most in 2042, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+2.43+2.300.00+0.12+0.02
Transparency, Oversight & Accountability+1.28+1.150.00+0.12+0.01
Business Dynamism & Entrepreneurship+0.92+0.780.00+0.12+0.02
Structural Transformation & Complexity+0.91+0.730.00+0.12+0.06
Justice System & Fundamental Rights+0.80+0.670.00+0.12+0.01
Financial Infrastructure+0.54+0.500.00+0.12+0.03