Round 2029
Round 3 of 20 in simulation 18 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.190 to 16.38.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.38 (+0.190)
- In: 16.19
- Rank by index
- 4
- In: 6
- Domains at Tier 1
- 4
- In: 3
- Credits carried
- 259
- In: 158
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.09 | 16.10 | +0.007 | 2 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.40 | 16.48 | +0.083 | 1 |
| National Security | 14.54 | 14.64 | +0.102 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 17.40 | 18.05 | +0.653 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 15.86 | 16.23 | +0.368 | 2 → 1 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.93 | 16.02 | +0.088 | 3 |
| Financial Strength | 16.11 | 16.25 | +0.141 | 5 → 4 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.66 | 16.70 | +0.033 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.71 | 16.94 | +0.234 | 2 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2029: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 917, plus 158 carried in. Maintenance 594. Spent 222 on actions (build 89, buy 44, partner 89). 259 carried over.
- BuyTechnical & Vocational Skills44 credits for 1.05 levelsmctsahead of Space Operations by 0 per cent
- BuildAdvanced Education44 credits for 1.67 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access44 credits for 2.81 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildFoundational Education44 credits for 1.74 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance44 credits for 1.29 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +3.7 points this round.
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 2 to 1; Financial Strength Tier 5 to 4.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +2.28 | +2.49 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +1.82 | +1.70 | 0.00 | +0.13 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +1.44 | +1.41 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +1.35 | +1.32 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +1.00 | +0.97 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 |
| Advanced Education | +0.74 | +0.71 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 |