Round 11 · simulation 18 · mcts-m2.m2-kor-mcts-score-sum

Round 2037

Round 11 of 20 in simulation 18 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Cryptographic trust break, and the index −0.178 to 16.78.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.78 (−0.178)
In: 16.96
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
6
In: 6
Credits carried
379
In: 390
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.5716.17−0.3952
Strategic Infrastructure16.3416.39+0.0552
National Security14.2613.83−0.4343
Human Capital18.9619.11+0.1521
Information & Influence17.6017.09−0.5111
Governance & Integrity16.3616.51+0.1451
Financial Strength16.7616.35−0.4061
Production & Innovation17.0717.12+0.0501
Trade & Investment18.7118.46−0.2551

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2037: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,001, plus 390 carried in. Maintenance 762. Spent 250 on actions (build 200, partner 50). 379 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance50 credits for 0.66 levelsmctsahead of Space Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuildLabour & Employment50 credits for 2.45 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildTransparency, Oversight & Accountability50 credits for 1.93 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildJustice System & Fundamental Rights50 credits for 1.84 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption50 credits for 1.90 levelsmcts_fill
  • Shock: Cryptographic trust break S09. −22.1 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
The groups that moved most in 2037, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Resource Infrastructure+1.00+1.190.00−0.20+0.01
Population Health+0.87+0.850.000.00+0.01
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−0.790.000.00−0.80+0.01
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks−0.790.000.00−0.82+0.03
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies−0.780.000.00−0.79+0.01
Financial Stability & Crisis Management−0.770.000.00−0.770.00