Round 14 · simulation 18 · mcts-m2.m2-kor-mcts-score-sum

Round 2040

Round 14 of 20 in simulation 18 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Regional war spillover, and the index −0.257 to 16.88.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.88 (−0.257)
In: 17.13
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
6
In: 6
Credits carried
335
In: 356
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.1916.01−0.1752
Strategic Infrastructure16.5316.06−0.4742
National Security13.8913.31−0.5773
Human Capital19.4119.34−0.0751
Information & Influence17.9317.84−0.0901
Governance & Integrity17.1917.18−0.0171
Financial Strength16.5916.23−0.3571
Production & Innovation17.6817.680.0001
Trade & Investment18.7818.23−0.5461

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2040: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,007, plus 356 carried in. Maintenance 778. Spent 250 on actions (build 200, partner 50). 335 carried over.

  • BuildSpace Technologies50 credits for 1.53 levelsmctsahead of Structural Transformation & Complexity by 0 per cent
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence50 credits for 1.87 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildStructural Transformation & Complexity50 credits for 2.19 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildDiaspora & Global Communities50 credits for 2.28 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildBusiness Dynamism & Entrepreneurship50 credits for 2.26 levelsmcts_fill
  • Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −29.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
The groups that moved most in 2040, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.050.000.00−1.05−0.01
Resource Infrastructure−0.950.000.00−0.950.00
Strategic Strike & Missile Defence−0.950.000.00−0.92−0.03
Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment−0.940.000.00−0.93−0.01
Industrial & Sectoral Base+0.93+1.350.00−0.41−0.01
Maritime Power−0.930.000.00−0.92−0.01