Round 9 · simulation 18 · mcts-m2.m2-kor-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2035

Round 9 of 20 in simulation 18 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Legitimacy rupture and Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.144 to 16.82.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.82 (−0.144)
In: 16.96
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
5
In: 5
Credits carried
393
In: 416
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.5016.40−0.1042
Strategic Infrastructure16.1816.06−0.1132
National Security14.0613.91−0.1563
Human Capital18.9818.96−0.0141
Information & Influence17.8117.54−0.2671
Governance & Integrity15.9415.99+0.0523
Financial Strength17.1016.76−0.3341
Production & Innovation17.1116.96−0.1551
Trade & Investment18.9918.79−0.2021

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2035: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,019, plus 416 carried in. Maintenance 787. Spent 254 on actions (build 203, partner 51). 393 carried over.

  • PartnerNuclear Deterrence51 credits for 1.64 levelsmcts
  • BuildRegulatory Governance & Strategic Controls51 credits for 1.91 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildFinancial Infrastructure51 credits for 2.39 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildPolitical Institutions & Civic Participation51 credits for 1.95 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption51 credits for 1.99 levelsmcts_fill
  • Shock: Legitimacy rupture S05. −7.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
  • Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −6.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
The groups that moved most in 2035, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.500.000.00−0.51+0.01
Monetary & Currency Capability−0.490.000.00−0.500.00
Financial Infrastructure+0.44+0.600.00−0.160.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−0.400.000.00−0.410.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.340.000.00−0.33−0.01
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks−0.340.000.00−0.38+0.05