Round 11 · simulation 18 · mcts-m2.m2-kor-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2037

Round 11 of 20 in simulation 18 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Cryptographic trust break, and the index −0.197 to 16.73.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.73 (−0.197)
In: 16.93
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
6
In: 6
Credits carried
337
In: 356
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.4316.02−0.4032
Strategic Infrastructure16.2216.27+0.0442
National Security13.9713.53−0.4413
Human Capital19.0619.16+0.1001
Information & Influence17.5617.02−0.5401
Governance & Integrity16.3216.55+0.2351
Financial Strength16.7916.36−0.4351
Production & Innovation17.2517.18−0.0631
Trade & Investment18.7918.52−0.2701

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2037: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,006, plus 356 carried in. Maintenance 774. Spent 250 on actions (build 200, buy 50). 337 carried over.

  • BuildLabour & Employment50 credits for 2.45 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • BuyResource Infrastructure50 credits for 2.33 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Transparency, Oversight & Accountability by 1 per cent
  • BuildTransparency, Oversight & Accountability50 credits for 1.93 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Justice System & Fundamental Rights by 1 per cent
  • BuildJustice System & Fundamental Rights50 credits for 1.85 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Public Integrity & Anti-Corruption by 0 per cent
  • BuildPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption50 credits for 1.90 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Political Institutions & Civic Participation by 1 per cent
  • Shock: Cryptographic trust break S09. −22.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
The groups that moved most in 2037, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Resource Infrastructure+0.97+1.170.00−0.200.00
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks−0.840.000.00−0.86+0.03
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−0.820.000.00−0.82+0.01
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies−0.800.000.00−0.81+0.02
Financial Stability & Crisis Management−0.790.000.00−0.790.00
Intelligence & Assessment−0.790.000.00−0.82+0.04