Round 2028
Round 2 of 20 in simulation 46 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Regional war spillover, and the index −0.388 to 15.66.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2028 (the end of 2027) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 15.66 (−0.389)
- In: 16.05
- Rank by index
- 6
- In: 6
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 2
- Credits carried
- 166
- In: 82
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.08 | 15.81 | −0.276 | 2 → 3 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.32 | 15.69 | −0.631 | 2 |
| National Security | 14.41 | 13.70 | −0.709 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 16.95 | 17.27 | +0.316 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 15.49 | 15.51 | +0.019 | 3 → 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.84 | 15.51 | −0.327 | 4 → 5 |
| Financial Strength | 16.07 | 15.47 | −0.607 | 5 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.63 | 16.13 | −0.504 | 1 → 2 |
| Trade & Investment | 16.68 | 15.90 | −0.778 | 2 → 3 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2028: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 888, plus 82 carried in. Maintenance 582. Spent 222 on actions (build 133, partner 89). 166 carried over.
- PartnerTechnical & Vocational Skills44 credits for 1.98 levelsmctsahead of Digital & AI Competence by 0 per cent
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling44 credits for 3.11 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildDigital & AI Competence44 credits for 2.23 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation44 credits for 3.40 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildAdvanced Education44 credits for 1.69 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −34.5 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 2 to 3; Information & Influence Tier 3 to 2; Governance & Integrity Tier 4 to 5; Production & Innovation Tier 1 to 2; Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 3.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +1.44 | +1.70 | 0.00 | −0.26 | 0.00 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | −1.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.23 | 0.00 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −1.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.20 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.18 | +1.35 | 0.00 | −0.17 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +1.15 | +1.32 | 0.00 | −0.16 | 0.00 |
| Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment | −1.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.08 | 0.00 |