Round 9 · simulation 46 · mcts-m2.m2-kor-mcts-tier1

Round 2035

Round 9 of 20 in simulation 46 of South Korea, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Water-efficient food leap, and the index +0.137 to 16.77.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.77 (+0.136)
In: 16.63
Rank by index
2
In: 3
Domains at Tier 1
6
In: 5
Credits carried
477
In: 474
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.3916.48+0.0972
Strategic Infrastructure15.7916.02+0.2392
National Security13.8413.88+0.0473
Human Capital18.7118.79+0.0871
Information & Influence17.2017.38+0.1871
Governance & Integrity15.6715.90+0.2293 → 1
Financial Strength16.3816.42+0.0461
Production & Innovation16.9817.06+0.0831
Trade & Investment18.7418.96+0.2181

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2035: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 995, plus 474 carried in. Maintenance 746. Spent 245 on actions (build 196, partner 49). 477 carried over.

  • BuildJoint Command, Projection & Sustainment49 credits for 1.44 levelsmctsahead of Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure by 0 per cent
  • BuildResource Infrastructure49 credits for 2.43 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence49 credits for 2.33 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildEarly Childhood Development49 credits for 2.09 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuildRegulatory Governance & Strategic Controls49 credits for 1.89 levelsmcts_fill
  • Upside event: Water-efficient food leap S16. +14.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 3 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2035, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Economic Leverage & Dependence+1.23+1.160.00+0.04+0.03
Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure+0.94+0.830.00+0.04+0.07
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+0.85+0.760.00+0.02+0.07
Resource Infrastructure+0.73+0.610.00+0.04+0.08
Government Effectiveness & Public Administration+0.73+0.630.00+0.09+0.01
Regulatory Governance & Strategic Controls+0.47+0.380.00+0.090.00