Round 2027
Round 1 of 20 in simulation 10 of Brazil, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.164 to 11.53.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2027 (the end of 2026) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.53 (−0.163)
- In: 11.69
- Rank by index
- 31
- In: 30
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 60
- In: 0
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 8.95 | 8.85 | −0.098 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.80 | 13.57 | −0.234 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.42 | 9.33 | −0.087 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 11.88 | 11.91 | +0.029 | 7 → 6 |
| Information & Influence | 11.86 | 11.63 | −0.231 | 5 → 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 12.11 | 11.98 | −0.129 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 13.13 | 12.86 | −0.264 | 9 → 10 |
| Production & Innovation | 11.88 | 11.69 | −0.193 | 8 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.18 | 11.91 | −0.265 | 7 → 8 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2027: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 435. Maintenance 310. Spent 65 on actions (build 52, buy 13). 60 carried over.
- BuildDigital & AI Competence13 credits for 1.25 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technical & Vocational Skills by 2 per cent
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills13 credits for 1.27 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Lifelong Learning & Reskilling by 1 per cent
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling13 credits for 1.37 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 11 per cent
- BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation13 credits for 0.76 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Foundational Education by 2 per cent
- BuildFoundational Education13 credits for 0.85 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 5 per cent
- Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −12.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 7 to 6; Information & Influence Tier 5 to 6; Financial Strength Tier 9 to 10; Trade & Investment Tier 7 to 8.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research Talent & Knowledge Creation | +0.62 | +0.76 | 0.00 | −0.13 | 0.00 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.46 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.40 | 0.00 |
| Monetary & Currency Capability | −0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.39 | 0.00 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | −0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.39 | 0.00 |
| Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure | −0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.37 | 0.00 |