Round 14 · simulation 10 · mcts-m2b.m2b-bra-greedy

Round 2040

Round 14 of 20 in simulation 10 of Brazil, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.076 to 12.01.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.01 (+0.076)
In: 11.93
Rank by index
29
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
670
In: 596
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.489.72+0.2425
Strategic Infrastructure13.0613.07+0.0063
National Security8.928.93+0.0075
Human Capital14.4614.52+0.0581
Information & Influence12.2012.22+0.0194
Governance & Integrity11.4911.49−0.00210
Financial Strength12.8912.90+0.0079
Production & Innovation11.9311.96+0.0255
Trade & Investment12.9513.27+0.3256 → 5

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2040: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 455, plus 596 carried in. Maintenance 314. Spent 68 on actions (build 14, buy 27, partner 27). 670 carried over.

  • BuyArtificial Intelligence14 credits for 1.11 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 1 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access14 credits for 1.17 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Foundational Education by 0 per cent
  • BuildFoundational Education14 credits for 0.76 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Robotics & Autonomous Systems by 0 per cent
  • BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems14 credits for 1.17 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication14 credits for 1.05 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 0 per cent

Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2040, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Robotics & Autonomous Systems+1.20+1.170.000.00+0.02
Artificial Intelligence+1.14+1.110.000.00+0.03
Export Capability & Sophistication+1.08+1.080.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.58+0.580.000.000.00
Global Value Chain Position+0.56+0.550.000.00+0.01
Advanced Education+0.34+0.290.000.00+0.04