Round 17 · simulation 10 · mcts-m2b.m2b-bra-greedy

Round 2043

Round 17 of 20 in simulation 10 of Brazil, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, AI labour shock, and the index −0.079 to 12.11.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2043 (the end of 2042) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.11 (−0.079)
In: 12.19
Rank by index
28
In: 27
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 1
Credits carried
763
In: 698
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology10.0910.02−0.0705
Strategic Infrastructure13.0913.03−0.0603
National Security8.948.96+0.0125
Human Capital14.6114.53−0.0811 → 2
Information & Influence12.6212.43−0.1844
Governance & Integrity11.4911.37−0.11710
Financial Strength12.9112.77−0.1399 → 10
Production & Innovation12.2612.09−0.1624
Trade & Investment13.6813.76+0.0875

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2043: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 463, plus 698 carried in. Maintenance 329. Spent 69 on actions (buy 14, partner 55). 763 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance14 credits for 0.50 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Digital & Services Trade by 0 per cent
  • PartnerDigital & Services Trade14 credits for 1.10 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Facilitation & Logistics by 0 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics14 credits for 1.02 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 0 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence14 credits for 1.01 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Global Value Chain Position by 0 per cent
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position14 credits for 1.01 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 0 per cent
  • Shock: AI labour shock S08. −29.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 1 to 2; Financial Strength Tier 9 to 10.

The groups that moved most in 2043, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+0.66+1.010.00−0.39+0.03
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.37+0.560.00−0.20+0.01
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−0.330.000.00−0.34+0.01
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.32+0.510.00−0.200.00
Global Value Chain Position+0.32+0.510.00−0.20+0.01
Labour & Employment−0.270.000.00−0.33+0.05