Round 6 · simulation 4 · mcts-m2b.m2b-bra-greedy

Round 2032

Round 6 of 20 in simulation 4 of Brazil, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Chronic disease advance, and the index +0.072 to 11.91.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.91 (+0.073)
In: 11.84
Rank by index
30
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
233
In: 212
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.919.01+0.0996
Strategic Infrastructure13.8113.84+0.0343
National Security9.429.42+0.0025
Human Capital13.4013.86+0.4603 → 2
Information & Influence12.1012.19+0.0925
Governance & Integrity12.0612.11+0.0449
Financial Strength12.9312.97+0.03310
Production & Innovation11.8911.84−0.0546
Trade & Investment12.0111.95−0.0607

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2032: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 393, plus 212 carried in. Maintenance 312. Spent 59 on actions (build 12, buy 35, partner 12). 233 carried over.

  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies12 credits for 1.22 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Digital & AI Competence by 0 per cent
  • BuildDigital & AI Competence12 credits for 0.91 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance12 credits for 1.10 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 1 per cent
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance12 credits for 0.49 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 0 per cent
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation12 credits for 0.62 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technical & Vocational Skills by 1 per cent
  • Upside event: Chronic disease advance S19. +15.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 3 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2032, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.20+1.220.00−0.04+0.01
Digital & AI Competence+1.07+1.110.00−0.050.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.02+0.940.00+0.080.00
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.02+1.100.00−0.07−0.01
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.97+1.010.00−0.040.00
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+0.64+0.620.00+0.020.00