Round 5 · simulation 4 · mcts-m2b.m2b-bra-greedy

Round 2031

Round 5 of 20 in simulation 4 of Brazil, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.021 to 11.84.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.84 (+0.021)
In: 11.81
Rank by index
30
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
223
In: 207
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.868.91+0.0486
Strategic Infrastructure13.8113.81+0.0033
National Security9.429.42+0.0015
Human Capital12.9913.40+0.4134 → 3
Information & Influence12.1012.10−0.0045
Governance & Integrity12.0912.06−0.0269
Financial Strength13.0112.93−0.07610
Production & Innovation11.9711.89−0.0796
Trade & Investment12.0912.01−0.0877

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2031: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 393, plus 207 carried in. Maintenance 312. Spent 65 on actions (build 39, buy 13, partner 13). 223 carried over.

  • BuildDigital & AI Competence13 credits for 1.08 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technical & Vocational Skills by 2 per cent
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills13 credits for 1.09 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Lifelong Learning & Reskilling by 3 per cent
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling13 credits for 1.17 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 2 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence13 credits for 1.36 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 1 per cent
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance13 credits for 0.55 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 1 per cent

Earlier events still landing: −4.2 points this round.

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 4 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2031, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.22+1.200.00+0.020.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+1.19+1.290.00−0.100.00
Artificial Intelligence+1.16+1.360.00−0.20+0.01
Digital & AI Competence+1.08+1.180.00−0.100.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.59+0.690.00−0.100.00
Foundational Education+0.47+0.500.00−0.030.00