Round 9 · simulation 4 · mcts-m2b.m2b-bra-greedy

Round 2035

Round 9 of 20 in simulation 4 of Brazil, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.136 to 12.30.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.30 (+0.136)
In: 12.16
Rank by index
27
In: 28
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 0
Credits carried
428
In: 353
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.389.61+0.2286
Strategic Infrastructure13.9113.96+0.0493
National Security9.429.43+0.0095
Human Capital14.5814.79+0.2112 → 1
Information & Influence12.4512.48+0.0335
Governance & Integrity12.2512.32+0.0729
Financial Strength13.2313.30+0.0739
Production & Innovation12.0712.24+0.1696
Trade & Investment12.1712.55+0.3797 → 6

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2035: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 473, plus 353 carried in. Maintenance 327. Spent 70 on actions (build 14, buy 28, partner 28). 428 carried over.

  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies14 credits for 1.31 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Global Value Chain Position by 1 per cent
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position14 credits for 1.16 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication14 credits for 1.16 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity14 credits for 0.80 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Education by 0 per cent
  • BuildAdvanced Education14 credits for 0.82 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 1 per cent

Earlier events still landing: +3.0 points this round.

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 2 to 1; Trade & Investment Tier 7 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2035, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.37+1.310.00+0.06+0.01
Economic Output & Productivity+0.87+0.800.00+0.03+0.04
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.68+0.660.00+0.03−0.01
Global Value Chain Position+0.62+0.580.00+0.03+0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.61+0.580.00+0.030.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.57+0.540.00+0.030.00