M2b · mcts-m2b.m2b-bra-mcts-index

Simulations

All 20 simulations of Brazil, tree search, 20 years, one per seed, at 2046. The representative simulations link to their own pages, told round by round.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1 · The experiment

Every simulation

One row per seed, at the horizon. Select a heading to sort.

Simulation	Index	Change	Rank	Tier rank	Tier 1	Shocks	Upsides	Most funded group
19	13.68	+1.99	21	14	1	0	2	Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance (9 per cent)
20	13.52	+1.83	21	15	1	1	3	Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance (9 per cent)
4A good simulation (90th percentile)	13.43	+1.74	22	13	1	1	2	Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance (10 per cent)
15	13.20	+1.51	22	18	1	1	1	Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance (10 per cent)
5	13.15	+1.46	22	17	1	2	2	Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance (10 per cent)
2	13.05	+1.36	22	17	1	2	0	Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance (9 per cent)
16	13.04	+1.35	22	17	1	1	0	Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance (8 per cent)
1	12.92	+1.23	22	19	1	3	0	Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance (10 per cent)
3	12.92	+1.23	22	19	1	1	1	Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance (12 per cent)
17	12.85	+1.16	22	15	1	2	2	Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance (9 per cent)
7Median simulation	12.80	+1.11	24	19	1	4	2	Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance (10 per cent)
12	12.79	+1.10	24	19	1	2	0	Semiconductors & Advanced Computing (6 per cent)
14	12.78	+1.09	24	19	0	3	0	Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance (12 per cent)
9	12.47	+0.79	25	18	1	3	0	Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance (10 per cent)
11	12.36	+0.67	26	20	0	4	0	Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance (11 per cent)
6	12.25	+0.56	27	19	0	4	1	Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance (9 per cent)
10A poor simulation (10th percentile)	12.14	+0.45	28	20	0	4	1	Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance (11 per cent)
18	12.14	+0.45	28	19	1	5	1	Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance (11 per cent)
13	11.90	+0.21	30	19	1	5	0	Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance (11 per cent)
8	11.41	−0.28	34	22	0	5	0	Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance (11 per cent)